Frank's
Story
In the Beginning
Why the Alvarez's came to Frank Asaro
Draft Lottery
Walter and his father Luis Alvarez asked Frank Asaro to join
their research team for a number of reasons. One was that
Frank had impressed Luis during
the presidency of Richard Nixon and the Vietnam conflict. There had been a
draft lottery that decided which young men would serve in the armed forces,
and Frank noticed that there appeared to be an unusual bias against young men
whose birthdays were at the end of the year. This concerned Frank directly,
because his son's birthday was in November. Frank sent a letter to the editor
of the Oakland Tribune along with a graph demonstration the bias. The letter
to the ended up with an Oakland Tribune reporter, Fred Garretson, who had some
previous experience with graphs. Much to Frank's surprise, the contents of
the letter appeared as a news article in the Oakland Tribune the next afternoon
rather than a letter to the editor. The staff of the San Francisco Chronicle
saw the article and had a reporter call Frank. The next morning an article
appeared on the front page of the San Francisco Chronicle. Frank also wrote
letters to many of his congressmen, and another letter to the editor saying
that the ladies of a church bazaar could have held a better lottery. The reporter,
Fred Garretson, however, was able to find out exactly how the lottery was held
and how the bias likely occurred. He found that the people in charge of the
draft lottery placed all of the days of the year in a shoebox, adding the days
to the box month by month. As the box became full, the numbers at one end would
be pushed back towards the other end and the new month's dates added. When
the hand was removed, the old dates would slide back over the new. This was
repeated until all of the days in a year were in the box. Then the box would
be shaken and turned over, the numbers falling into a second container. As
the box was quite full, shaking might not have mixed the things up very much.
The result was that the dates from the end of the year could have been enriched
in the top of the second container. At some later time someone would pick a
number, probably off the top. This explanation impressed the physicist Luis
Alvarez, who commented to Frank "It looks like you were right ".
Testing the authenticity
of the Plate of Brass
The Alvarez's had also been impressed by the work of Helen
V. Michel and Frank on the Plate of Brass. This plate was
a brass artifact, in the custody of the
U.C. Berkeley Bancroft Library, which had thought to be left by Sir Francis
Drake when he refitted his vessel, the Golden Hinde on the coast of Northern
California in 1579. The Plate was carefully described in a 1626 publication
called "The World Encompassed by Sir Francis Drake". University professors
had discussed the Plate with their students and encouraged them to go and find
it. In 1936 a brass plate with lettering on it was discovered in Marin County
in California by Beryle Shinn. It was carefully studied and tested and declared
to be the authentic Plate of Brass left by Francis Drake by a special committee
of two, C.G. Fink and E.P. Polushkin. There was considerable controversy, however,
about the authenticity of the Plate. For example, in 1974, Samuel Eliot Morison,
in the second volume of his two books, "The European Discovery of America" called
the Plate of Brass a student hoax.
In 1997, in preparation for the 1979 quadricentennial
celebration of Drake's landing in California, Professor James
D. Hart, Director of the Bancroft Library, which had custody
of the Plate of Brass, decided to implement a new round of
studies of the authenticity of the artifact. Among many studies
he wanted to have the Research Laboratory for Archaeology and
the History of Art at Oxford University in England make chemical
abundance measurements on drilled fragments from several parts
of the Plate. He asked Professor Glenn T. Seaborg, who was
head of the Nuclear Chemistry Division at the Lawrence Berkeley
Laboratory, later called the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(LBNL), if some of his staff could do the drilling. Professor
Seaborg asked Frank if he would do it. Frank said yes and he
put Helen in charge of the project. Helen and Frank said that
they wanted to make measurements as well as doing the drilling,
and that was acceptable to Professor Hart.
Professor Hart instituted some ground rules.
The Plate would be drilled in three places, which would not
mar its appearance. Half of the material from each hole would
be sent to the Oxford Laboratory in England, and there would
be no communication between the laboratories prior to submission
of reports to Professor Hart. There was also to be no publication
of results prior to Hart's Bancroft Library publication.
The surfaces of the sides of the artifact (which
were where the drilling would take place) were carefully cleaned,
and holes were drilled so as not to mar either the front of
the back of the artifact. Members of the Bancroft Library staff
were almost always present when the Plate itself was being
drilled handled or measured. The metal pieces, form each of
the three drillings, were divided into two equal parts and
half of each was sent to England. The Berkeley portion of each
was divided into two parts making six samples, and neutron
activation analysis (NAA) studies and other measurements were
made on these. When the work started out, Helen and Frank believed
the Plate to be authentic, and their six samples were referred
to as DRPL-1 to DRPL-6, where DRPL stood for Drake's Plate.
Brass is principally an alloy of copper and zinc, and each
element will contribute impurities into the brass. In their
initial NAA studies, Helen and Frank studied the impurities
in the Plate of Brass that were expected with zinc. They found
that those were much lower in abundance than the anticipated
for old brass, but similar to what was expected for relatively
modern brass. These data suggested that the Plate was not authentic,
but Helen and Frank did not consider them conclusive.
After
a few months, the Oxford Laboratory completed their measurements
and sent a four-page report to Professor
Hart. He held a meeting of many of the faculty participants
in authenticity study, and asked Frank to read and evaluate
the Oxford report in the front of them. This was especially
difficult since intimidated Frank at that time, and also he
liked to read and enjoy papers in his field in a very leisurely
manner. The report by the Oxford scholars, indicated they thought
the Plate was not authentic, but they could not be sure. Frank
felt the results of the two laboratories were consistent, except
that the English reported a Fe content of 0.2% was too large
for modern brass, and so there was a problem. They asked Robert
D. Giauque of LBNL to try and measure the Fe content by X-ray
fluorescence, but he could only obtain a limit, <0.2%. Then
they tried measuring it by NAA and also could only obtain a
limit, <0.1%. Neither measurement was adequate to quarrel
with the English result of 0.2%. Then one of the other participants
in the LBNL program, George V. Shalimoff was able to measure
the Fe content by emission spectroscopy and found a value of
0.027%, which was consistent with modern brass. In later years
it was found that the discrepancy did not arise from a measurement
problem, but a typographical error in the process of transferring
the information from the University of Manchester * where the
Fe measurements were made) to Oxford and then to Professor
Hart. The University of Manchester Fe contents were given as <0.2%
not 0.2%!
As Helen and Frank's measurements proceeded,
it became increasingly evident that the amounts of many impurities
in the Plate of Brass were much smaller than anticipated and
the Plate was also much more homogeneous in composition than
expected for old brass.
Professor
Hart wanted very much to obtain the LBNL final report. He wanted
about a four-page report like
the Oxford Laboratory had sent to him. But Helen and Frank
wanted to be very sure of their findings and it took them about
2 years to turn in the report, which was 46 pages long. Their
conclusions from the homogeneity of the composition of the
Plate based on the impurities expected in old zinc and copper,
the brass making procedures employed in the late 16th century,
and the homogeneity in the thickness of the Pate of Brass each
indicated the Plate was not authentic. They deduced that most
probable period for the manufacture of the Plate was the late
19th or early 20th century. Although an 18th to the 20th century
date was possible, a 16th century was not. The Bancroft Library
published 16 pages of Helen and Frank's report in a very limited
distribution, and the complete report was published in the
journal Archaeometry along with e the report from the Oxford
Laboratory. The Plate was studied by other workers by many
different methods with the resulting view that the Plate was
probably not authentic. Of particular note was the work of
the world famous metallurgist, Cyril Stanley Smith, who deduced
the Plate had been cut with guillotine shears, which were not
available in Drake's time. Smith's first works when he viewed
the Plate under a microscope are noteworthy. He said, "This
is a damned fin piece of brass."
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